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Probable cause: the statistics behind Paul the Octopus's winning ...
The Australian Financial Review-Dec 26, 2017
It's the same error that led people to be captivated by an octopus named Paul who, in 2010, correctly predicted the outcomes of eight German soccer World Cup matches. It might seem surprising that a cephalopod could make so many predictions from mere random guesses. But as statistician David Hand ...
Man who predicted India's 2011 World Cup triumph says Virat Kohli ...
Daily News & Analysis-Jan 7, 2018
A la Paul the 'predicting' octopus in football, he has an uncanny knack of correctly predicting the future of cricketers in the sport, and claims to have followers who will vouch for the accuracy of his prophesies. Narendra Bunde, a resident of Nagpur and a 'cricket astrologer' by profession, had "foretold" some ...
Japan Isn't Happy With Logan Paul's Tokyo Video, Either
Kotaku-Jan 4, 2018
On January 1, the most important day on the Japanese calendar, when families gather and think about the new year, YouTuber Logan Paul posted an ... In it, Paul goes around city as if its his personal playground. ... He holds this dead fish and octopus tentacle against the window of a nearby Starbucks.
This astrologer predicts overseas success for Kohli-led India
Press Trust of India-Jan 7, 2018
New Delhi, Jan 7 (PTI) A la Paul the 'predicting' octopus in football, he has an uncanny knack of correctly predicting the future of cricketers in the sport, and claims to have followers who will vouch for the accuracy of his prophesies. Narendra Bunde, a resident of Nagpur and a 'cricket astrologer' by profession, had "foretold" ...
Virat Kohli will taste success overseas: 'cricket astrologer' Narendra ...
T2 Online-Jan 7, 2018
A la Paul the 'predicting' octopus in football, he has an uncanny knack of correctly predicting the future of cricketers and claims to have followers who will vouch for the accuracy of his prophecies. Narendra Bunde, a resident of Nagpur and a 'cricket astrologer' by profession, had "foretold" some months ago ...
Year of the Octopus, Part 1
Gold Seek-Jan 6, 2018
While 2018 is the Year of the Dog on the traditional Chinese calendar, on the nontraditional Mauldin calendar we call it the Year of the Octopus. I don't know exactly what's coming, but I'm .... Next we turn to Paul Krugman, who is not generally one of my favorite economists. I quote him this time because he ...
How not to get fooled by the world's randomness
The Japan Times-Dec 12, 2017
NEW YORK – There's a common thread to the dubious claims and irreproducible results that have plagued some fields of science. In most of these cases, scientists saw illusory patterns in the randomness of our world. It's the same error that led people to be captivated by an octopus named Paul who, ...
Why The Experts Keep Getting It Wrong!
BW Businessworld-Dec 26, 2017
Let me take you back to the year 1555, when Nostradamus wrote his first set of Quatrains, four line predictions, which are still pretty popular today. From prognostications about French revolution to those on the birth of Hitler, right through onto JFK assassination, death of Lady Diana to September 11 attack, ...
How not to be fooled by randomness
Livemint-Dec 11, 2017
All have gone the way of poor, discredited Paul the Octopus. The good news is that tools to separate real results from random noise exist. The bad news is that many researchers in afflicted fields never learnt to use them correctly—a conclusion echoed by reformers from within, and reflected in a statement ...
VIDEO: Forget Paul the Octopus, Nika the Polar Bear is the new ...
Eurosport.co.uk-Jun 18, 2017
Paul swept to international attention at the 2010 World Cup after successfully predicting eight results – including Spain's win over the Netherlands in the final – leading to a host of imitations (including our very own Nelson the Hornbill at Euro 2016!) None have come close to rivalling the original, but the ...
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