ISSN 0973-5011
Vol. 15 No. 1 2022
Indian
Journal of Politics and
International Relations
IJPAIR
Indian Journal of Politics and International Relations
Vol. 15 No. 1 2022
Vice Chancellor
Sabu Thomas
Editor
C. Vinodan
Associate Editors
M.V. Bijulal
Lirar P.
Mathew A. Varghese
Mary Senterla P.S.
International Board of Editors
Kanti Bajpai (National University of Singapore)
T.V. Paul (Mcgill University)
Yong-Soo Eun (Hanyang University)
Harsh V. Pant (King’s College London)
Shibashis Chatterjee (Jadavpur University)
Prabhat Patnaik (Jawaharlal Nehru University)
Francis Boyle (University of Illinois College of Law)
Sabina Lautensach (University of Auckland)
Neera Chandhoke (Delhi University)
Rajen Harshe (South Asian University)
Alexander Lautensach (University of Northern British Colombia)
Jayadeva Uyangoda (University of Colombo)
Valerian Rodrigues (Jawaharlal Nehru University)
Editorial Office
School of International Relations and Politics
Mahatma Gandhi University
Priyadarshini Hills P.O.,
Kottayam, Kerala
India PIN- 686560
e-mail: vinodan.c@gmail.com
Printed in India at Alen layout, Kottayam, Kerala, India
Indian Journal of
Politics and International Relations
Vol. 15 No. 1
2022
IJPAIR
ISSN 0973-5011
Contents
India-China Strategic Relations in the Emerging Asian Order
Dalbir Ahlawat
India-China Hydroscape: Securitizing the Brahmaputra
Adil Qayoom Mallah and Sanjeda Warsi
5
21
Greta Thunberg in Canada: Climate Activism, Mediated Imagery,
and Public Sphere
Ronie Thomas, Sony Jalarajan Raj and Adith K. Suresh
33
st
Challenges in Theorizing International Relations in 21 Century:
Postcolonial Methodology and Epistemology of Nationalism
Dileep P. Chandran & Biju Lekshmanan
48
Corporate Social Responsibility: A Developmental Initiative in India
Atul Ch. Biswas
61
U.S.A. Arms Amendment Bill-2022: Causes and Consequences
A. Kumara Swamy and V. Ravi Kumar
71
Legitimation of Xenophobia in Secular India
Mohammed Mazharuddin and Basavaraja G
78
New Education Policy Reproducing Hierarchies of Social Exclusion
Rajesh Komath and K.S. Madhavan
85
Tragedy of Jumbos in Bamuni Hill, Assam: Interrogating Human
Interventions in the Wild Life Habitats of India’s Northeastern Borderland
Rengupta M and Dilip Gogoi
100
Soft Power Diplomacy of India and China in South Asia:
A Special Referance to Nepal
Indulekha B.S.
108
Understanding the Problematic of the International: Deconstructing the
Contribution of the Neo-Trotskyist Theory of IR
Sanjeev Kumar H.M.
118
Human Security and Emancipation: Examining the Link
Swatilekha Bhattacharya
138
India and Global Environmental Governance: Past, Present and Future
Vishnu Aravind
151
Ecotourism in Kerala: An Alternative to Mass Tourism
Jenni K Alex and Beetu Sebastian
164
Livelihood Pattern and Existetial Crisis of Muthuvan
Tribes in Idukki District, Kerala
Jinu Joseph
172
Religion and International Relations: Role of Catholic Church in Shaping
Contemporary Political and Moral Definitions
Simi Joseph
181
Food Processing Industries in India: A Socio Economic Analysis
Ratheesh E R
Caste and Cognition: State of the Art and Reflections from CulturalHistorical Perspective in Psychology
Vijith Kuniyil
Constructing Social Identities of Interstate Women Labourers in Kerala
Nirmalya. P
QUAD: The New Strategic Alliance for India in the Post- Covid World?
an Analysis
Nilimpa Ghosh
190
196
212
223
India-China Strategic Relations
in the Emerging Asian Order
Dalbir Ahlawat
Indian Journal of Politics
and International Relations
ISSN 0973-5011
Vol. 15 No. 1 2022
05-20
Abstract
India and China while rising simultaneously as big powers, no doubt, cooperate
on multi-fronts but also appear to be engulfed in the colonial-inherited border
dispute. Sincere efforts have been made to delineate a Line of Actual Control (LAC)
but this still remains undefined as a result has given rise to a volatile situation
including face-offs, deaths and show of force. India adopted a conciliatory approach
but the year 2017 proved to be a turning point, when India started to firm up its
stance and indicated to China that it is more a peer competitor and will not
compromise on its territory. This was not only meant for the consumption of the
domestic constituency but also to demonstrate that India has the potential to standup to the Chinese hegemonic overtures thus place itself so that the regional countries
having grievances with China could find India as an alternative partner to rely on.
Still engaging China in trade and multilateral forums, India has been exploring
several alternative strategies that include joining the Quadrilateral Security
Dialogue, strengthening bilateral relations with the US, emphasising on centrality
of the regional institutions such as the ASEAN, and continuing its time tested
friendship with Russia. India is intending to pursue these policy postures with the
intent to retain its strategic autonomy while engaging with the major powers to
fulfil its own ambition of a big power in the future, thus instead of zero-sum alliance
system, it intends to pursue a multipolar-Asia paradigm. This chapter attempts to
trace the historical antecedents, divergences and strategic competition between
India and China, strategic policy options for India and its ambition to become a
sub-super power in the future.
Key words: ASEAN, Border Dispute, India-China Strategic Relations,
Multipolar-Asia Paradigm, QUAD
Joint leadership aspiration to divergence
India and China existing side-by-side and rising simultaneously as big powers
share millennia old civilizations where the relations between the two remained
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Indian Journal of Politics and International Relations
distant but whenever interacted remained cordial, let it be the flow of Buddhism
from India or the Chinese visitors to India. However, while transitioning from foreign
domination to nation-state in the late 1940s, both countries taking lessons from
their penury, tormented and tortuous colonial pasts adopted different developmental
strategies to gain rightful place in the post-colonial world order. China under
Chairman of the People’s Republic of China Mao Zedong opted for a revolutionary
path to further its immediate and long-term national interests whereas India under
Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru opted for a democratic path. As against Mao’s
realism, Nehru followed an idealist vision of universal goodwill and global peace.
His vision was perceptible at the Bandung conference where he envisioned “to pursue
a joint leadership with China to pave the way for the resurgence of Asia” (Ahlawat
and Hughes, 2018). However, Mao’s realism and Nehru’s idealism, and divergent
national interests led the two towards estrangement (Frankel, 2020).
The divergence started with China’s dilution of Tibet’s autonomy and finally
annexing it by force in 1950s, and placing varying claims over the border with India
that led to a war in 1962 and seizure of Aksai Chin area and other territories by China.
As against Nehru’s “joint leadership” of Asia, Chinese leadership casted doubt about
India’s non-aligned credentials and considered Nehru as “the running dog” of
Western imperialis (Brecher, 1959) Losing the war in 1962 cut Nehru’s tall stature
short because he failed to take cognizance of China’s strengthening of its military
force, as against his idealism. For example, when the independent India’s army chief
General William Lockhart presented a defence policy draft for consideration by the
government, Nehru tossed the draft away as “Rubbish! Total rubbish!….We don’t
need a defence plan. Our policy is ahimsa (non-violence). We foresee no military
threats. Scrap the army! The police are good enough to meet our security needs”
(Palit, 1991). However, despite the low-key relations between the two countries,
Beijing continued to remind New Delhi of its low stature vis-à-vis China. Rather it
became customary for the Chinese leadership to “contemplate ‘teach[ing] India a
lesson again’” decade after decade starting with Mao “the 1962 War (Zhou Enlai in
1971, Deng Xiaoping in 1987, Jiang Zemin in 1999, Hu Jintao in 2009 and Xi Jinping
in 2017)” (Khan, 2018). Not only this, even different Chinese media outlets continued
to express aspersions about India’s existence as a sovereign country while projecting
India as continuing to follow the colonial master’s sinister designs to destabilise
China. Therefore, time and again it repeated to teach India a lesson. On different
occasions, the Chinese Communist Party outlets passed several perjury statements
such as India being “a backward country full of horrific stories”, “India as a nation
never really existed in history”, and it can be balkanized into 20–30 pieces. Even
Wang Yi, when he was vice-foreign minister, went to the extent of branding India
as “a tribal democracy whose long-term existence was far from a certainty”.
6
Furthermore, statements like, “China and India cannot really deal with each other
harmoniously” as the Chinese leader Chiang Kai-Shek stated that the sky cannot
have two Suns. In sum, starting with a high note in the 1950s, the relationship
between the two plummeted to its lowest ebb in 1962 and remained so until 1988.
Confidence building measures to ingression
Notwithstanding the above quagmire, India broke ice with the visit of Prime
Minister Rajiv Gandhi to Beijing in December 1988. Within six months of this visit,
the Tiananmen Square incident took place in June 1989. This led to sharp criticism
and isolation of China in the international fora. Facing intense international pressure,
Beijing took it wise to conciliate with India on the disputed border as it “could not
afford to be saddled with a hostile neighbour to its southern frontier” (Ahlawat and
Hughes, 2018). This led to signing of several bilateral agreements to resolve the
border dispute. In 1993, signed an “Agreement on the maintenance of peace and
tranquillity along the line of actual control in the India–China border areas” (UN,
1993). In 1996 signed a treaty on “Confidence building measures in the military field
along the line of actual control in the China–India border areas”. In 2003 signed a
“Declaration on principles for relations and comprehensive cooperation between
India and China” (Vajpayee and Jiabao, 2003). In 2005 signed another “Agreement
on the political parameters and guiding principles for the settlement of the India–
China boundary question” (MEA, 2005). The ongoing confidence building measures
gave way to signing of a “Memorandum of understanding for exchanges and
cooperation in the field of defence” in 2006 and laid the foundation for an “annual
defence dialogue” between two countries. Furthermore, an agreement signed in 2012
reinforced “respecting and abiding by the Line of Actual Control pending a resolution
of the Boundary Question…maintaining and strengthening peace and tranquility…
is very significant for enhancing mutual trust and security between the two countries”
(MEA, 2012). These agreements not only led to confidence building measures on
the border dispute but also gave boost to the bilateral trade that grew from a paltry
US$265 million in 1991 to a historic high of US$95.7 billion in 2018-19, though it
declined to US$87.6 billion in 2020 because of the border conflict escalation in 2020
(Krishnan, 2021).
After President Xi Jinping’s holding of reign in China, he initiated a new world
order with belts and roads, all emanating from China and linking different continents
and to strengthen this order, it initiated several regional institutional frameworks.
Against the backdrop of the expanding trade relations, India considering a revisit
of the 1950s of Nehru’s vision, joined the China initiated institutional frameworks,
such as Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), Asian Infrastructure Investment
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Indian Journal of Politics and International Relations
Bank (AIIB), Brazil, Russia, India, China South Africa (BRICS), Russia, India, China
(RIC). However, a major objective behind creation of these frameworks was to
convince India to be part of the China initiated order in Asia and isolate the US in
the region.
Notwithstanding the expanding trade ties, signing of several border resolution
agreements and entering into institutional frameworks, there are experts who doubt
the real intensions of a rising China specifically in the security and strategic domains.
For example, Johnston (2007) asserts that China’s strategic culture is based, largely,
on realpolitik that guides its leaders to foresee war as a central means to pursue its
security and strategic interests. Similarly, Scobell (2002) argues that if China’s
history is any witness, its leadership will have a predilection to use force. This
reasoning would appear to be borne out from the fact that, at the beginning of 2018,
President Xi Jinping called for “real combat training and firmly grasping the might
to win wars . . . not to fear death” (Wang, 2018). Again, during a visit to military base
in Guangdong in 2020, President Xi Jinping pressed the troops to “put all (their)
minds and energy on preparing for war” (Westcott, 2020). Furthermore, in his first
order in 2021 before the PLA military training started, President Xi Jinping asserted
for a “full-time combat readiness” and also readiness to “act at any second”
considering the circumstances China faced (Zhen, 2021).
Considering the above war mongering statements by President Xi Jinping
himself over the years, though not directly aimed at India, from India’s perspective
reflect a gap between the text of the border conflict resolution agreements signed
between the two and the spirit to implement them. As the Indian sources outline
that China continues to ingress in its territory and build military grade infrastructure
along the LAC. Such actions, instead of building confidence give rise to trust deficit
that can be elaborated with several instances. Moreover, not finding India amenable
to support its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) launched in 2013, Beijing started to
pursue aggressive policy postures towards India at least on its Himalayan border to
distract it from participating actively in the Indo-Pacific geo-strategic construct
initiated by the US and more specifically the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (QUAD),
formed by Australia, India, Japan and the US.
However, China denies having any hegemonic machinations to pursue its
interest, rather it supports a ‘community of the shared future for mankind’, and
‘win–win cooperation’, as against Cold War alliance systems. It wants to cherish
these ideals through the BRI that connects different continents and different peoples.
Such policies can be double-edged, as Gokhale underpins “Beijing doesn’t aim to
impoverish its potential clients”, what it wants is to align their systems and
infrastructure “towards the consumption of Chinese technology and services”, and
ensure that these are in “sync with China’s strategic interests and policies” (Gokhale,
8
2021). If countries, such as India, object to China initiated order they are threatened
teaching a “lesson”.
A flagship project of the BRI, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) passes
through Pakistan Administered Kashmir (PAK), a territory claimed by India. Building
of permanent infrastructure by China, a UN Security Council permanent member,
adversely effected India’s claim over this territory (Ahlawat and Raymond, 2020).
Therefore, India boycotted joining the BRI. Similarly, signing of an agreement with
Pakistan to build Diamer Basha Dam in the disputed territory, again led India to
protest strongly against construction of the dam. China has also been staking its
claim over Arunachal Pradesh, a northeastern Indian state. The claim reached to an
extreme when before President Hu Jintao visit to India in November 2006 to enhance
bilateral relations, the Chinese ambassador to New Delhi, claimed that whole of
Arunachal Pradesh was “Chinese territory” (Chaudhury, 2006). Similarly, during
President Xi Jinping’s visit to India in September 2014, Chinese forces perpetrated
incursion into the Indian territory (BBC, 2014). Since last few years, Chinese troops
have been involved in increasing number of incursions across the LAC and the
reasons for these incursions are plain to see: aside from keeping India off-balance,
Beijing is forcing New Delhi to react to its actions, thus placing New Delhi on the
defensive and forcing it to explain why Chinese troops should not be in those areas.
The onus, in other words, is on New Delhi to prove its case for sovereignty while
China uses the pretext of the undemarcated border for its anti-India policy (Ahlawat
and Hughes, 2018).
In addition to the LAC incursions, China has been conducting hydrographic
surveys in the Exclusive Economic Zones of the littoral states, using unmanned
underwater drones, deploying its nuclear-powered attack submarines in the Indian
Ocean since 2013, in addition, visits to Sri Lankan and Pakistani ports aim to
challenge India’s dominance in the Indian Ocean, that according to an Australian
scholar “made clear that it will not allow the Indian Ocean to become India’s Ocean”
(Brewster, 2014). Furthermore, providing grants, loans and construction of strategic
infrastructure like roads, pipelines and ports in India’s neighbouring countries aim
to diminish India’s influence in its immediate neighbourhood and isolate within its
own region (Chitty et al., 2018). For strategic balancing, by supplying military
weapons to Pakistan, China intends to keep Pakistan hyphened to India, to keep
India engaged on its western frontier.
China also intends to counterbalance India in the international fora, for
example, it has made consistent efforts to block New Delhi’s membership in
important international bodies like Nuclear Suppliers Group, United Nations
Security Council, etc. Overall, Beijing showed limited or no sensitivity to India’s
major challenges/concerns such as cross-border terrorism (Ahlawat and Thaakar,
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Vol. 15 No. 1 2022
Indian Journal of Politics and International Relations
2021). All these actions appear to contain India and coerce it to follow the China
initiated regional order.
India stands up to China
India claims that China has been regularly protruding in its territory, for
example Aksai Chin in 1962, Karakoram Pass in 1963, Tia Pangnak in 2008, Chabji
Valley in 2008, Doom Cheley 2009, Demchok in 2012, Raki Nula in 2013. Thus
facing these enervative overtures over the border, New Delhi was pushed to the point
of either conceding to the Chinese coercion (to signal to other countries in the region
to fall in line) or retaliate with the risk of further conflagration of tension on its 3488
km long disputed border, with the likelihood of a war.
Mapping its own strengths and taking cognizance of the changing regional and
global strategic dynamics, instead of cowering down to the Chinese pressure,
traditionally a conciliatory India hardened its stance in 2017 when China started to
construct a military-grade road in Doklam, a disputed territory between China and
Bhutan, that overlooks the strategic Siliguri Corridor in India. For the first time,
India let its troops cross the LAC in 2017 that led to a 73-day stiff face-off with the
Chinese military. Although war threats and teaching of lessons exchanged but as
against the previous appeasement policy, India remained firm on the ground, while
simultaneously making offers of dialogue. Ultimately, both the armies agreed to
withdraw to their respective positions. This turned out to be a benchmark in the
bilateral relations when India demonstrated its mettle to not to budge under pressure.
To avoid repeat of such instances in the future, Prime Minister Narendra Modi and
President Xi Jinping held an informal “heart to heart summit” in Wuhan in April
2018 (Xinhua, 2018). Following on from this, they held another informal summit
at Mamallapuram, India in 2019. In a sense, Modi “channelled this to his own
advantage, orchestrating one-on-one summits with Xi that make it appear like China
respects India as a peer…” (Hall, 2020).
Notwithstanding these summits, tensions and skirmishes continued across
different sectors (Lipulekh 2020, Pangong Tso 2020, etc) of the LAC. A face-off
again built up in Galwan Valley where India claimed that China built bunkers in the
vicinity of Finger (mountain spur) five and stopped march of Indian forces past this
point, whereas previously Indian troops used to march up to Finger eight and the
Chinese troops till Finger four. Since 1975 there had been no causalities on either
side of the LAC, thanks to signing of confidence building agreements discussed above,
however in June 2020 a fight ensued between the two armies that led to killing of
twenty Indian soldiers and five Chinese soldiers, though Chinese causalities are
estimated to be much higher (Dar, 2021). India claimed the attack on its forces was
‘premeditated’ with unconventional weapons. Killing of soldiers further strengthened
10
New Delhi’s stance to not to compromise on its sovereign territory as it was getting
clear signals, “What makes the Galwan Valley episode different from earlier Chinese
intrusions across the LAC is that… Beijing is insisting that the PLA are there to stay”
(Hall, 2020).
After nine rounds of commander level meetings both sides signed an agreement
in February 2021 for complete troop disengagement and verification on the north and
south banks of Pangong Tso. However, deep trust deficit remains as the commanders
were unable to resolve the other friction points such as Hot Springs, Gogra and Demchok.
Even the Chinese forces still block Indian troops at the bottleneck (Y point), and hold
the strategic Depsang Plains from accessing the previous patrolling points PP10, PP11A,
PP12 and PP13. Thus, still blocking the passage to India’s air base Daulat Beg Oldie (close
to the Karakoram Pass) that passes through the Depsang Plains. For this, the Chinese
foreign ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian held India accountable, “China always owns
[sic] sovereignty over the Galwan Valley region” and if New Delhi wants to deescalate
the conflict should restrain its military. Again, in January 2021, PLA’s efforts to intensify
its strategic posture on the LAC led to another “minor face-off” in northern Sikkim
(Gettleman et al., 2021). Furthermore, to provoke the situation, China built a village in
the disputed area along the LAC that previously used to be a remote military post (Som,
2021).
The above analysis indicates that both countries despite skirmishes and faceoffs have demonstrated exceptional maturity to contain and negotiate the border
conflict. However, with the increasing gap between Chinese and Indian military
power, forces India to rethink about its strategic options to counter-balance China’s
hegemonic overtures.
Strategic Options for India
In the post-Cold War period, India pursued its security and strategic interests
based on the doctrine of Strategic Autonomy, that is to “keep Indian decision-making
insulated from external pressures” (Smith, 2020), or in other words, “exercise of
choice driven purely by sovereign considerations and interest” (Talukdar, 2018).
Concomitant with, and as a consequence of, Chinese postures, India for its part has
charted out several strategic options.
Join the QUAD
India joined the QUAD in 2017 with Australia, Japan, and the US, as a common
strategic platform. Thus, facing the geo-strategic challenge posed by Beijing, the
QUAD supported “freedom of navigation and overflight”, “rules based order” and
“maritime security” in the Indo-Pacific (Madan, 2017). Considering gravity of the
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Indian Journal of Politics and International Relations
geo-strategic challenges in the region, the QUAD progressed fast from the senior
official level in 2017 to ministerial level in 2019. It was further revitalised with the
visit of President Donald Trump to India in February 2020, when he openly
supported the QUAD’s significance (Panda, 2020). Some doubts were casted about
the Biden administration’s commitment to the QUAD but the Secretary of State
Antony J. Blinken brushed these aside while attending the third ministerial level
meeting in February 2021. The four foreign ministers reiterated their “commitment
to upholding a rules-based international order, underpinned by respect for territorial
integrity and sovereignty, rule of law, transparency, freedom of navigation in the
international seas and peaceful resolution of disputes” (The Hindu, 2021). While
the LAC face-off still on, India for the first time officially used the term “QUAD”
during deliberations of this meeting (Roy, 2021). Thus, the QUAD acts as a
psychological barrier to China as it feels uncomfortable with the grouping of the four
countries and fears losing control and influence in the Indo-Pacific region.
No doubt, the QUAD offers a robust alternative to hedge against China but the
QUAD is still in its incipient stage where all the four members differ on its nature and
scope. For example, so far, the four countries are unable to issue a joint press statement.
Australia and Japan are long-term US alliance partners whereas India is limited to just
a partnership. India while agreeing on “a free, open, prosperous” Indo-Pacific region,
diverges from others on exclusion of China. This means, India prefers inclusion of China
but with the rider that Beijing should respect the international law and other set norms.
No doubt, India’s maritime domain has been expanding robustly but it still remains to
be an Indian Ocean specific. Moreover, it neither has any contested territories nor the
capability to assert itself in the Pacific region. Since May 2020 India has been deterring
China on its 3488 km long disputed border on its own, QUAD has neither been able to
put pressure on China, nor able to provide active support to India. Even the border
conflict did not get a mention during the third ministerial QUAD meeting in February
2021. In this regard, Hugh White aptly states, “Why should Delhi court conflict with
Beijing by opposing China in East Asia simply to please Washington or Tokyo? And how
sure can Delhi be that Washington or Tokyo-or Canberra-would risk their relationship
with China to stand with India?” (White, 2020). Thus, if India has to deal with China
on its own on its land borders, than the efficacy of the QUAD would be reduced to the
maritime domain only. This way, a rising India while being part of the QUAD would like
to retain autonomy and focus more on serving its own interests and not of other QUAD
members.
Strategic convergence with the US
India’s conduct of nuclear tests in 1998 to deter China led to convergence of
India-US security and strategic interests and finally signing of a Defence Framework
12
Agreement in 2005. This also opened new vistas for technology transfer and declaring
India, without it signing the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons,
as “a responsible state with advanced nuclear technology” and according it the status
of a de-facto nuclear weapons state, despite China’s objections (Gopal, 2016).
Further, sharing the similar interests and concerns in the Indo-Pacific region both
signed the “U.S.-India Joint Strategic Vision for the Asia-Pacific and Indian Ocean
Region” in 2015 (The White House, 2015). With China asserting its claims in the
South China Sea, excessive maritime movements in the Indian Ocean, building of
CPEC infrastructure in the territory claimed by India, and building pressure along
the LAC, led to signing of four foundational agreements that the US signs with its
military partners to share logistics, intelligence, strategic locations and other
sensitive information. The evolving relationship also gave boost to the defence trade
that quantum jumped from US$200 million in 2000 to over US$20 billion in 2020.
In show of strength, they conduct several naval exercises at bilateral, trilateral and
quadrilateral levels such as Cope India, Tiger Triumph, Vajra Prahar, and Malabar
in the Indo-Pacific region. Overall, the relationship has been elevated to “Global
Comprehensive Strategic Partnership” (MEA, 2020a).
Declassification of a secret US national security document (U. S. Strategic
Framework for the Indo-Pacific) (USSF, 2021) on 12 January 2021 disclosed the
seriousness with which the Trump administration took India vis-à-vis China. This
policy document emphasised on “A strong India, in cooperation with like-minded
countries, would act as a counterbalance to China”. The document clearly enumerated
that India “maintains the capacity to counter border provocations by China”, and it
“remains preeminent in South Asia and takes the leading role in maintaining Indian
Ocean security…”. It appears the policy postures listed above will continue as the
Biden administration intends to “fully back a rapidly growing US–India partnership
that enjoyed much forward movement during the Trump years…. Biden is a longtime friend of India’s who once described the US–India partnership as the defining
relationship of the 21st century” (Kugelman, 2021). To overcome any uncertainties
in the Indo-US relations, Biden in his maiden telephonic call assured Modi of
“continuing close cooperation to promote a free and open Indo-Pacific, including
support for freedom of navigation, territorial integrity, and a stronger regional
architecture through the QUAD” (Biden, 2021).
Notwithstanding convergence of interests against a rising China, still several
major differences remain between India and the US. During the border conflict with
China, Trump instead of supporting India offered to mediate. In a similar vein, US
Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo although offered to support India but did not
elaborate the nature of support. Furthermore, the US restricts buying of advanced
technology from other competitors, for example, when India placed order for the
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Indian Journal of Politics and International Relations
Russian S-400 Triumf surface to air missile, the US threatened to impose sanctions
under its Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act.
Align Act East policy with ASEAN
As discussed above, India supports the QUAD objectives but at the same times
considers it as a group of four big democracies. To build legitimacy in the region,
India considers the role of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) as
central. The complexity develops with these countries’ varying levels of relations
with China. Therefore, India maintains an inclusive approach that the QUAD is not
against any country but supports the common global goods, such as freedom of
navigation, unimpeded commerce and peaceful settlement of disputes in accordance
with the international law. These form the central tenets of the East Asia Summit,
ASEAN Regional Forum, ASEAN Defence Ministers’ Meeting Plus and the Indian
Ocean Rim Association. This means, India accords due consideration to the regional
institutional frameworks and intends to retain centrality of the ASEAN. At the same
time, India projects itself as not against China, as Modi emphasised that “Asia and
the world will have a better future when India and China work together in trust and
confidence, sensitive to each other’s interests” (MEA, 2018). What India expects of
China is to respect sovereignty of other states and resolve the disputes amicably as
per the international law. This is the core of India’s Act East policy to take the ASEAN
countries on its side to counter China. Thus, India’s approach is welcomed by most
of the countries in the region, many of whom are wary of Chinese expansionism and
in search of viable alternatives. India, therefore, tends to be viewed as a countervailing
force to China. This policy posture was visible during the Delhi Declaration after the
ASEAN-India summit in 2017 to develop a common ASEAN Community Vision 2025
(MEA, 2018) and launch of a new Plan of Action (2021-25) for the “promotion of
peace, stability, and prosperity in the region” (ASEAN-India Summit, 2019).
Retain strategic bond with Russia
India and Russia have had mutually reinforcing relationship since 1950s except
for a brief interjection during Soviet Union’s transition to Russia. With Vladimir
Putin in the political horizon of Russia, both countries were quick to re-identify their
potential and interdependency in the defence sector. Moreover, ongoing joint defence
production projects in India and an ongoing stable export market for Russia further
accelerated the bilateral military-technological cooperation. In the wake of China’s
rise, it became more compelling for India to acquire advanced weapon system from
Russia, in the process Moscow accounted for 85% (Lalwani et al., 2021) of India’s
all defence sector imports. Even despite the US threats, India signed agreement for
14
supply of five sets of S-400 missile and air defence system worth US$5.5 billion in
2018 during Putin’s visit to India (Gady, 2018).
India’s defence procurement is so much embedded with the Russian military
industrial complex that in a protracted conflict, Moscow could amply affect India’s
military capability by simply withholding replacements and spares. This means even
if India desires to de-couple Russian imports, realistically it may take decades
(Narang, 2021).
However, witnessing Russia’s increasing proximity to China and deepening
defence ties with Pakistan, to retain its strategic autonomy, India started to diversify
import of its military technology from 2016 onwards from other exporters like France,
US, Israel and European countries. Commenting on the evolving aperture and India’s
diversification of imports, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov lamented “India
is currently an object of the Western countries’ persistent, aggressive and devious
policy as they are trying to engage it in anti-China games by promoting Indo-Pacific
strategies” (Lavrov, 2020). However, to assuage India’s concerns he expressed
confidence at the 2020 Raisina Dialogue that India “being smart enough to
understand” the Western “trap” of the Indo-Pacific will “not get into it” (Lavrov,
2020a).
Conclusion
Notwithstanding signing of several confidence building agreements on border
security, expanding trade ties, and joining China initiated institutional frameworks,
the trust deficit between India and China has been on the rise. As India’s Foreign
Minister S. Jaishankar put bluntly “events of 2020 have actually put our relationship
under exceptional stress”. Furthermore, India’s growing proximity with the US and
ASEAN countries, opposition to the BRI and CPEC, and consolidation of control
over the LAC, have made Beijing to view Delhi as a strategic competitor. At the same
time, China’s design to disassociate India from the US and lure it in the Beijing
initiated strategic order appears to have lost steam, therefore India deserves to be
taught a lesson.
India while demonstrating its firm resolve to face China on the disputed border
and in the Indian Ocean intends to contest China’s hegemonic overtures with a caveat
to keep the option for negotiations and future cooperation open. With widening
divergence and improbability of border dispute resolution in the near future, India
has been exploring other strategic options. It is inclining towards the QUAD so that
the democratic countries should collectively checkmate China and pressurise it to
follow a rules based order, respect freedom of navigation, and resolve the territorial
disputes amicably. India is also adding wings to its Act East policy by emphasising
15
Vol. 15 No. 1 2022
Indian Journal of Politics and International Relations
on centrality of the ASEAN, i.e. strengthening regional institutional frameworks and
also building its own legitimacy as an alternative regional power to China. In addition,
signing of four foundational security agreements with the US, acquiring de-facto
nuclear status, diversifying import of military technology from different countries,
retaining its reliable ties with Russia, all accumulatively place India on a strong
pedestal to deter China. Thus, the onus is put on China, if it pushes India hard, India
will engage with the QUAD and the US more robustly that will go against the Chinese
interests, if it wants India to be on its side, it need to resolve the border dispute and
consider India as a peer neighbour. India’s achievement appears that has pushed
China to a tight precipice point while itself having a catalogue of options.
In addition, availing membership of different institutional frameworks
including China, Russia and the US, indicates that India is operating at multi-levels.
While enhancing its own military capability by diversifying import of military
technology from different sources, India remains immune from pressure from any
one country or a group. This scenario creates a conducive environment for India
that instead of engaging in a zero-sum alliance system it profers a multipolar-Asia
paradigm where India could maintain its strategic autonomy and at the same time
retain its independence to make decisions that serve its interests best.
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